H ere's where Tammy is located right now . Hurricane Tammy Prison ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually strengthened modestly considering that Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a cyclone on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual location for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward away from the Caribbean has become less specific. Tammy was at first anticipated to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system assistance is now suggesting that the storm may drift around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a large and exceptionally powerful hurricane that triggered massive destruction and substantial loss of life. It is the costliest typhoon to ever hit the United States, exceeding the record previously held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest death in Hurricane Katrina was due to flooding caused by engineering flaws in the flood security system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, along with large areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon cautions have actually now been released for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests cyclone conditions are expected in some of these locations. You can see the current warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy need to spread out throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center stated.
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and cyclone and conditions were occurring over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is anticipated to be slightly weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a cyclone that might bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a few hundred thousand individuals, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Typhoon Tammy-- a Category 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has activated cyclone warnings for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island countries and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a risk to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept optimal continual winds of 85 mph and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 typhoon was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is only the third cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to cyclone specialist Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon specialists formerly alerted typhoons could form in unusual areas later in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most severe dangers and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, however might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain ought to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will begin to enhance from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy